التخطيط لتنمية العرض على السياحة من خلال الطلب

Abstract

Tourism is one of the most important activities upon which the achievement of economic development relies. That thanks to its sustainability and its bringing to the foreign currency without the refuge to the export, and the plans and policies of development of the tourism sector of the most important operational tools obtained is to develop this activity, by creating increasing demand over time, without events a defect in the tourist market as a result of the failure of supply or demand. The development in the plans and the policy to develop the tourism sector is the most important tools used in the development of this activity through the creation of a growing demand all over time, Without causing an imbalance in the tourist market as a result of the failure of supply and demand. This research, through settling a model, which aims to reveal the size of the excess supply in the future, for every month and during three years, we can identify the way how the supply evaluate through the time either in the increase or the decrease as compared to the evolution of demand for the bed nights in the peak seasons with the other months of the year and for several years. The analysis of research concerning the demand for bed nights, relied on several criteria, including the standard for the classification of hotels, the standard of the purpose of the visit and the standard of touristic seasons and the standard of the rate of the occupied beds per day for the north-central pole .The research came up with the conclusion of the existence of three types of gaps (surplus in supply), which is the up and down and a stable gap where most of the states of the pole have witnessed surpluses in supply progressively over the time,which will reflect negatively on the performance of the hotels in the long term because of the nature of the costs sustained by the hotel, which is characterized by stability All this is due to the weakness in the tourism sector as a result of the lack of genuine schemes and development policies. It Aims to create a tourist demand out of the demand that occurs in the peak seasons regarded as an automatic request other than the development policies of the sector. We suggested , at the end , solutions designed to reduce the surplus in supply, and make it decreasing over the time by the creation of a demand in other months or reducing the supply all along with inhibiting the demand, what goes with accounting results.