أثر التقدم التكنولوجي على النمو الاقتصادي في الدول العربية : دراسة تحليلية قياسية لحالة الدول العربية خلال الفترة 1990-2019

Abstract

This study aimed to measure the impact of technological progress on economic growth in the Arab countries through a reference study that included 7 countries: Jordan, Bahrain, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Morocco, Tunisia and Egypt. To achieve this goal, cross-sectional time-series models were used, based on annual data. The estimate was made through a fixed panel model during the period (2000-2019) based on the following economic variables: GDP per capita as a dependent variable and the size of employment index, capital, average number of years of study, percentage of Internet users, number of articles Scientific and technological journals, number of patents, exports and imports of ICT goods as independent variables ,The results of this analysis indicated that th e fixed effects model is the appropriate model for this study. The results of this study revealed a positive impact of all indicators of technological progress on economic growth, except for the indicator of ICT goods imports, which had a negative impact on the latter. The long-term relationship of the impact of technological progress on economic growth was estimated using the Model Dynamic panel using the fully modified least squares method (FMOLS), which was extended to (1990-2019) by dispensing with the variables of exports and imports of information technology goods, and the results of this indicated The estimate indicates that there is a direct relationship between economic growth and the average number of years of study and the number of articles in scientific and technological journals, and an inverse relationship between economic growth and the percentage of Internet use and the number of patents in the Arab countries